POST MORTEM OF AN ELECTION

The dice is cast, “ Vox Populi – Vox Dei”. Plaudits to the winners and commiseration to the losers. It started as a race with odds on a favourite horse and eventually finished with the one ranked as outsider as the winner. It has turned out to be the most astounding result in the annals of the general elections in Mauritius. It is truly amazing how the mighty have fallen but what is even more astounding is that a motley and disparate crew hastily put together as a makeshift opposition just to check and impede the juggernaut of the MMM/PTR alliance, managed in the end to achieve what was practically impossible and crossed the finishing line as victors.
In the beginning the main objective of the alliance “Lepep” was a damage limitation exercise. Not even in their wildest dreams did they envisage to win. At best they had hoped to stop the MMM/PTr alliance win 75% of the seats, which is the benchmark required to change the country’s constitution. What was to happen subsequently was beyond their wildest expectations because it culminated in the most unexpected victory, something which must have been an illusion when they first got together but fate had a role to play; there was a chain of events that was to change the outcome of these elections. Firstly the alliance MMM/PTr was so cocksure not only to win but by a landslide. For good measure, a whitewash of 60 – nil was openly contemplated and bragged by various members of the said alliance and for them, the forthcoming contest was a mere formality. Secondly one leader made disparaging remarks about the person chosen as president in waiting by the opposition. At a stroke, he alienated 52% of the population, which is female. This is just a sample of what went wrong tactically with the alliance MMM/PTr. What effect these statements had on the electorate was exactly the opposite they had hoped for.
Now the boot was on the other foot. Instead of being cock-a-hoop about an overwhelming victory, they were now full of self-doubt. The die-hard supporters were getting concerned by the arrogance displayed by some senior members of their team. They could not comprehend why the tide was turning though their leaders must have had an inkling, but did little to improve their basic style of communication. As a result, the momentum was tilting increasingly towards the opposition. When MMM/PTR first concluded their alliance, they thought they were practically invincible and only had to click their fingers to rally their troops. This conceited attitude contributed much to their downfall as the election results have portrayed.
For the losers, it is too late for recriminations and regrets but a salutary time to revisit their modus operandi to enable them to move onwards and upwards and hopefully get back to winning ways. As for the winners, a piece of timely advice: don’t sit back on your laurels and gloat over your opponents because even though this victory was gained by hard work and determination, there were two important elements that played in your favour. Firstly a lot of the MMM/PTr supporters decided to abstain to show their displeasure and secondly a substantial amount also voted for the opposition in order to teach a lesson to those who thought of them, known in our jargon as “fixed deposits”. One thing is for sure, the overwhelming majority of those who deserted the bosom of their respective parties will return home unless the incoming government can give them good reasons to think otherwise.


Commentaires

Vous avez oublié de mentionner dans l'alliance déchue, les insultes régulières d'un leader vis-à-vis des médias, des socio-culturels, des adeptes de son parti, de la vraie opposition d'alors, d'une frange importante de la population, et j'en passe. Vous n'avez pas mentionné non plus la déclaration de l'autre partenaire selon laquelle il allait finir le parti de son allié et que CT parcequ'il avait de la 'classe' qu'il se servait de l'argent qu'il voyait. Considérons en 3e lieu comment les remarques contre notre future Présidente aient pu aliéner un grand nombre de femmes et de gens d'une communauté spécifique. Par contre l'utilisation judicieuse des déclarations verbales précédentes, sur les 10 dernières années de ces deux partis avant qu'ils ne soient en alliance, a eu un impact psychologique sur le votant qui déteste et caméléons et ingrats. En outre, (a) la campagne de vérité et de proximité, (b) La promesse de rétablir la justice, (c) les voeux des candidats d'arrêter le style 'dominer' des protégés du régime. (d)l'effet "Viré Mam, (e) mais surtout la droiture du peuple de Maurice, ont été déterminants dans la victoire de l'Alliance LÉPEP. Ce peuple qui croit dans les valeurs morales s'est identifié plus facilement avec SAJ qu'avec le PM sortant.
Le gouvernement du jour est encore applaudie par le peuple car il montre déjà sa détermination de tenir ses promesses, même si c'est au déplaisir de quelques proches des protégés et nominés partisans. C'est pour toutes ces raisons que d'autres petits poissons abandonneront les coquilles vides et convergeront vers ces grands dirigeants qui vont sauver Maurice avec l'aide du peuple lui-même.